Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 929 | 59% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1217 | 969 | 81% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 979 | 983 | 49% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 996 | 82% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 964 | 56% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1157 | 1003 | 71% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1009 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1015.1 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).