Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 929 | 58% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 985 | 83% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 964 | 56% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1157 | 1036 | 67% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 987 | 51% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1041.5 has a 49.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).