Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (19 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2026-08-01 | | Won |
| 1159 | 991 | 72% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 919 | 1145 | 21% | 2026-07-31 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2022-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1001 | 68% | 2021-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-06-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | | Won |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-18 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2019-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2019-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2019-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | | Won |
| 994 | 1008 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1119 | 40% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1041.2 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).