Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 929 | 57% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1007 | 46% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1094 | 41% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1189 | 1064 | 67% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 978 | 983 | 49% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 876 | 1099 | 22% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1007 | 81% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 964 | 54% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 1056 | 64% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1019 | 46% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1024.9 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).