Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 930 | 58% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 979 | 937 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1253 | 996 | 81% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 964 | 51% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1030 | 1097 | 40% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 991 | 50% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1026 | 1118 | 37% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1025.6 has a 51.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).