A Push in the Bush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1025 | 45% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 966 | 953 | 52% | 2022-01-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 1136 | 31% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1107 | 53% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1003 | 55% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1231 | 35% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1025 | 75% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1058.8 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).