Italian Behemoth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (South African): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 984 | 71% | 2025-07-14 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1000 | 40% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-08-20 | | Lost |
| 799 | 1084 | 16% | 2023-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1212 | 23% | 2023-01-06 | | Lost |
| 959 | 871 | 62% | 2022-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 947 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1042 | 48% | 2020-01-24 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1166 | 31% | 2019-06-26 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1292 | 17% | 2019-06-04 | | Won |
| 925 | 1185 | 18% | 2019-05-14 | | Won |
| 1225 | 836 | 90% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
| 942 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1271 | 35% | 2019-01-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 1060.8 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).