Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 999 | 49% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 962 | 1209 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1336 | 11% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 982 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 1161 | 46% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 903 | 65% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1170 | 1021 | 70% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1105.5 has a 40.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).