Gladium Pro Patria e Rege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Italian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1223 | 920 | 85% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
1216 | 981 | 79% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1148 | 948 | 76% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
1011 | 1045 | 45% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1043 | 1100 | 42% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
1042 | 1062 | 47% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
944 | 1223 | 17% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
949 | 1310 | 11% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1062.7 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).