One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1053 | 54% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 994 | 48% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1157 | 47% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1128 | 861 | 82% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1128 | 861 | 82% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 937 | 881 | 58% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1016.3 has a 55.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).