One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (10 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2025-10-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2023-08-02 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 992 | 63% | 2020-12-27 | | Won |
| 1085 | 992 | 63% | 2020-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2019-08-06 | | Tied |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-03-15 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1021.1 has a 50.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).