Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 748 | 1189 | 7% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1041 | 46% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1148 | 47% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 985 vs 1100.5 has a 33.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).