Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2025-04-27 | | Won |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2023-09-24 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-02-08 | | Won |
| 996 | 962 | 55% | 2022-12-31 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2022-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2021-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2021-04-04 | | Tied |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2020-03-26 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1140 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-02-23 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2019-09-08 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-09-07 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1049.4 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).