Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (19 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 996 | 59% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 851 | 910 | 42% | 2022-05-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1022 | 38% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1056 | 878 | 74% | 2021-04-04 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1110 | 36% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1228 | 27% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 978 | 985 | 49% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1086 | 46% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1097 | 50% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1022 | 55% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1056 | 45% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1158 | 1056 | 64% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1051.2 has a 51.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).