Besieged
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (19 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 997 | 63% | 2025-04-27 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 996 | 963 | 55% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 852 | 910 | 42% | 2022-05-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1041 | 36% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1092 | 877 | 78% | 2021-04-04 | Tied |
| 1011 | 1108 | 36% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1039 | 68% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-05-12 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1003 | 984 | 53% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1085 | 51% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 1093 | 1166 | 40% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1059.4 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).