Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
1206 | 1245 | 44% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
983 | 982 | 50% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
1046 | 1066 | 47% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
984 | 1188 | 24% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
1188 | 1172 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
1046 | 1079 | 45% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1087 has a 45.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).