Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (15 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 912 | 55% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1244 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1013 | 55% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1030 | 57% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1013 | 983 | 54% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1083 | 51% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1123 | 1018 | 65% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 947 | 1257 | 14% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 997 | 989 | 51% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1257 | 1152 | 65% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1082 | 51% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1131 | 34% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1076.9 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).