Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (15 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 912 | 56% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1244 | 48% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 968 | 61% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 968 | 983 | 48% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 1082 | 51% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1082 | 1019 | 59% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1025 | 46% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1193 | 1141 | 57% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1086 | 1081 | 51% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1078.7 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).