Heroes' Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Indian (British)): 18
Defender wins (Indonesian (IRA)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1055 | 39% | 2026-04-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1069 | 65% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1057 | 47% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2020-07-11 | Won |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Won |
| 994 | 1069 | 39% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1030 | 56% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 972 | 1123 | 30% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1095 | 1017 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1048.8 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).