Across the Rio Grande
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Swedish): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2026-04-19 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-10-27 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 993.7 vs 1046 has a 42.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).