Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (33 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 44
Defender wins (German): 37
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 947 | 61% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 969 | 1011 | 44% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1273 | 22% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 955 | 1071 | 34% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1001 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 809 | 822 | 48% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1048 | 90% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 964 | 939 | 54% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 885 | 1025 | 31% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 1027 | 71% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1126 | 29% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1033 | 60% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1059 | 44% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1196 | 1055 | 69% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 880 | 68% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1072 | 48% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1046.4 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).