Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (36 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 52
Defender wins (German): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1052 | 48% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1066 | 37% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1342 | 28% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 756 | 1042 | 16% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 1026 | 44% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1064 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 990 | 1036 | 43% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 941 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1197 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 883 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1057 | 57% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1031 | 53% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1276 | 1177 | 64% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 875 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 1134 | 47% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1026 | 51% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1050.1 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).