Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (40 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 56
Defender wins (German): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1204 | 24% | 2026-07-10 | | Won |
| 1197 | 1110 | 62% | 2026-07-05 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2026-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2025-02-09 | | Won |
| 980 | 1035 | 42% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1097 | 41% | 2024-07-26 | | Won |
| 970 | 996 | 46% | 2024-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1112 | 984 | 68% | 2024-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1348 | 27% | 2023-10-02 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2023-09-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2023-09-10 | | Won |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-09-02 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2023-09-02 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-03-22 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-08 | | Won |
| 1008 | 864 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | | Won |
| 1008 | 864 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | D | Won |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2023-01-12 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1013 | 41% | 2022-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1066 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-24 | | Tied |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-08-24 | | Won |
| 1343 | 983 | 89% | 2022-06-17 | | Won |
| 965 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-02-08 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-09-23 | | Tied |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2021-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-01-22 | | Lost |
| 872 | 1102 | 21% | 2020-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1030 | 49% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1172 | 64% | 2020-11-29 | | Won |
| 1013 | 847 | 72% | 2020-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-10-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1035.6 has a 50.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).