Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (35 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 51
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1052 | 48% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 909 | 969 | 41% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 972 | 58% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1062 | 37% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1324 | 33% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 987 | 863 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 987 | 863 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 726 | 1045 | 14% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1062 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 891 | 48% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 975 | 1035 | 41% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 965 | 951 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 1073 | 26% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 878 | 891 | 48% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 995 | 75% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 947 | 1110 | 28% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1057 | 60% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1029 | 53% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1200 | 58% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 875 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 1110 | 51% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1025 | 51% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1038.1 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).