Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (29 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 41
Defender wins (German): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 961 | 59% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1051 | 38% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 981 | 982 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 982 | 981 | 50% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1057 | 37% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 955 | 877 | 61% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 833 | 825 | 51% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1078 | 877 | 76% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 983 | 74% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1056 | 90% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 877 | 51% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 964 | 952 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 938 | 1025 | 38% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 881 | 877 | 51% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1181 | 1041 | 69% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1147 | 27% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1034 | 55% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1039 | 44% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1016 | 881 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1102 | 54% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1064 | 46% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1014.4 has a 53.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).