Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1217 | 49% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 776 | 927 | 30% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 880 | 68% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1106 | 952 | 71% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.4 vs 1019.5 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).