Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 988 | 47% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 988 | 51% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1012 | 1044 | 45% | 2022-12-18 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1079 | 69% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 1108 | 33% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1023 | 55% | 2020-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1032.9 has a 54.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).