Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2026-07-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1146 | 27% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1021 | 71% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1045 | 48% | 2022-12-18 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1136 | 77% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 1152 | 28% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1146 | 38% | 2020-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1078.4 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).