Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1434 | 22% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1060 | 53% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 965 | 937 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 951 | 1060 | 35% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 1048 | 58% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1084.8 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).