Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 947 | 79% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1430 | 9% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 893 | 930 | 45% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1066 | 61% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1048 | 70% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1064.3 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).