The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Australian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2025-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 986 | 81% | 2025-09-13 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-07-29 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 974 | 59% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-03-22 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2023-07-04 | | Won |
| 1009 | 891 | 66% | 2023-03-06 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-12-18 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-05-18 | | Won |
| 1266 | 729 | 96% | 2021-04-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-01-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1085.9 vs 1002.8 has a 61.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).