The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (18 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 37
Defender wins (Australian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2025-10-10 | Lost |
| 1283 | 980 | 85% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 991 | 55% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 879 | 71% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1123 | 1216 | 37% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1146 | 52% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1259 | 29% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1243 | 755 | 94% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1177 | 999 | 74% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1056.2 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).