The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (14 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (Australian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1080 | 45% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1004 | 53% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 989 | 58% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1099 | 37% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 864 | 74% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1110 | 1211 | 36% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1168 | 1143 | 54% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 931 | 1126 | 25% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1272 | 30% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 755 | 93% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1044.9 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).