The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (31 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 963 | 1162 | 24% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1111 | 43% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1073 | 40% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1091 | 64% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1162 | 1061 | 64% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 918 | 866 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 890 | 898 | 49% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1059 | 1333 | 17% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 1043 | 986 | 58% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1013 | 70% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1333 | 1071 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1091 | 42% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 957 | 1030 | 40% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 1163 | 36% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1189 | 33% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1015 | 86% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1148 | 51% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1209 | 1059 | 70% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1114 | 62% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1134 | 1261 | 32% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1134 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1064.2 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).