The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-03-24 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1119 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2023-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2023-08-03 | | Won |
| 1200 | 1147 | 58% | 2023-07-03 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-01-05 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2022-10-24 | | Lost |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2022-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 997 | 75% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2022-06-10 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2022-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1020 | 52% | 2022-03-02 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2022-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2021-11-11 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1140 | 35% | 2021-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-08-09 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1043 | 76% | 2021-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1136 | 41% | 2021-07-06 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-07-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2021-05-26 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-03-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1057.7 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).