The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (31 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1045 | 48% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 947 | 972 | 46% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1110 | 49% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1059 | 42% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1085 | 65% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1198 | 1100 | 64% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 927 | 866 | 59% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1340 | 17% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1013 | 75% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1340 | 1071 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1072 | 45% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 939 | 67% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1073 | 46% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 989 | 52% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1191 | 30% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1196 | 30% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1015 | 87% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1144 | 1126 | 53% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1193 | 1059 | 68% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1138 | 48% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1134 | 1249 | 34% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1088.6 vs 1066.4 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).