The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (30 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1139 | 27% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1094 | 40% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1096 | 55% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 1022 | 73% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 921 | 867 | 58% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 906 | 925 | 47% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1296 | 25% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 934 | 987 | 42% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1028 | 73% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1296 | 1041 | 81% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 924 | 1058 | 32% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1058 | 69% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1075 | 44% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1067 | 935 | 68% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1003 | 967 | 55% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 985 | 1196 | 23% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1133 | 30% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1296 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1306 | 1060 | 80% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1134 | 59% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1195 | 47% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 946 | 51% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1197 | 1058 | 69% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1198 | 1176 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1060.1 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).