Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 973 | 48% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 960 | 61% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1142 | 1019 | 67% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1326 | 1068 | 82% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1076 | 36% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 847 | 89% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1150 | 42% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1002 | 47% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1088 | 56% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1124 | 67% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1221 | 1081 | 69% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1135 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.7 vs 1046.8 has a 57.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).