Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 928 | 48% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 911 | 59% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1109 | 1063 | 57% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1029 | 66% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 911 | 945 | 45% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1193 | 753 | 93% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1082 | 45% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1193 | 1218 | 46% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1029.3 has a 57.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).