Roucaud’s Blow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 982 | 34% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1057 | 53% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1184 | 40% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 778 | 1065 | 16% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 960.8 vs 1072 has a 34.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).