Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1040 | 57% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 1274 | 42% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1184 | 26% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 917 | 71% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 850 | 1060 | 23% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 969 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 1014 | 782 | 79% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1064.3 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).