Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1094 | 988 | 65% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1095 | 59% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1149 | 52% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1093 | 884 | 77% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1092 | 1177 | 38% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1032.2 has a 54.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).