Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1020 | 45% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1242 | 1268 | 46% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1184 | 30% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 900 | 73% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 851 | 1060 | 23% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 969 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1059.2 has a 49.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).