Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1310 | 1203 | 65% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1191 | 30% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 937 | 69% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 850 | 1066 | 22% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 970 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1056.1 has a 49.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).