Criniti's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2025-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1098 | 38% | 2022-04-16 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 990.5 vs 1056.3 has a 40.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).