The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1067 | 56% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 998 | 996 | 50% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1073 | 36% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 943 | 1028 | 38% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1052 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).