The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1072 | 41% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 1005 | 933 | 60% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 1129 | 47% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 1118 | 32% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 955 | 937 | 53% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1013.2 vs 1037.8 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).