The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 1083 | 42% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1033 | 1194 | 28% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1072 has a 44.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).