The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 978 | 1165 | 25% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1012.4 vs 1068.8 has a 41.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).