The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 973 | 990 | 48% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 989.2 vs 1027.8 has a 44.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).