The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 4
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 964 | 58% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 933 | 1056 | 33% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 946 | 1268 | 14% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1076.5 has a 41.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).