Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 10
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1185 | 31% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 780 | 1057 | 17% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1050 | 52% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1154 | 44% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 998 | 58% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1070.7 has a 45.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).