Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 12
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 947 | 53% | 2026-03-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1264 | 20% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 756 | 1032 | 17% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1050 | 47% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 893 | 69% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1048.6 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).