Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 10
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1184 | 29% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 729 | 1079 | 12% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1079 | 950 | 68% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1056 has a 46.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).