Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1216 | 20% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 994 | 54% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1071 | 52% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1347 | 15% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1151 | 31% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1087 | 48% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 924 | 1056 | 32% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1219 | 971 | 81% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1153 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 971 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 707 | 80% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1067.9 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).