Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1266 | 16% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1128 | 1091 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1241 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1266 | 1017 | 81% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1285 | 20% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1085 | 71% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 993 | 980 | 52% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1058 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 748 | 78% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 831 | 65% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1029 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1070.4 vs 1035.9 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).