Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1274 | 18% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1063 | 1058 | 51% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1200 | 33% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1274 | 972 | 85% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1324 | 17% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 995 | 54% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1086 | 66% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 950 | 980 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1060 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 891 | 60% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 726 | 78% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1042.9 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).