Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1193 | 31% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1050 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1217 | 30% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 957 | 80% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 994 | 55% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1285 | 19% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1085 | 68% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 980 | 48% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1038 | 43% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1032 | 40% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 789 | 70% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1054.6 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).