Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1208 | 23% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1046 | 54% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1155 | 38% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1208 | 1005 | 76% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 995 | 57% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1278 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1012 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1108 | 39% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1087 | 60% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1102 | 31% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1072 | 61% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1072 | 35% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 954 | 854 | 64% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1028 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1070.8 has a 46.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).