East Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 780 | 74% | 2025-11-20 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-09-11 | | Won |
| 1329 | 1242 | 62% | 2024-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2024-04-14 | | Won |
| 1014 | 940 | 60% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2023-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1049.5 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).