East Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (7 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-09-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 998 | 898 | 64% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 929 | 1123 | 25% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1196 | 37% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1038 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).