Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (16 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 39
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 743 | 95% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 972 | 1009 | 45% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1193 | 49% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1070 | 59% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 999 | 70% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 779 | 1028 | 19% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 951 | 1065 | 34% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 907 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 949 | 1049 | 36% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 927 | 43% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1112 | 1207 | 37% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1265 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1037.3 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).