Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 21
Defender wins (German): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1047 | 49% | 2026-01-18 | Won |
| 1225 | 746 | 94% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 947 | 1018 | 40% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1153 | 1113 | 56% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1040 | 68% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1202 | 1073 | 68% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 763 | 1051 | 16% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 964 | 1153 | 25% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2024-07-29 | Won |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 918 | 885 | 55% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 1238 | 35% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1281 | 28% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 946 | 1342 | 9% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1076.1 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).