Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 21
Defender wins (German): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2026-01-18 | | Won |
| 1298 | 728 | 96% | 2025-05-24 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-01-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1056 | 66% | 2024-10-31 | | Won |
| 957 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-10-13 | A | Lost |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2024-09-05 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2024-08-27 | | Lost |
| 750 | 1076 | 13% | 2024-08-08 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-08-02 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2024-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1142 | 64% | 2024-07-29 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1065 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | | Lost |
| 909 | 904 | 51% | 2024-06-13 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1154 | 51% | 2024-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-06-13 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1343 | 9% | 2024-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2024-03-31 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 1043.7 has a 52.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).