Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 18
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 749 | 95% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 967 | 993 | 46% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1241 | 27% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1046 | 64% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1066 | 52% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 786 | 1041 | 19% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 906 | 1066 | 28% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 882 | 908 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 846 | 993 | 30% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1264 | 28% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1264 | 47% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1045.7 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).