Last Assault on the Steelworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1125 | 53% | 2025-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-04-23 | | Won |
| 973 | 1037 | 41% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 961 | 58% | 2025-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2024-10-09 | | Won |
| 970 | 1076 | 35% | 2024-10-09 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2024-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 1042.5 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).