Four Stars of Valor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allied): 12
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Allied): 0
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2026-02-02 | Won |
| 997 | 1072 | 39% | 2025-10-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 994 | 42% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 1145 | 52% | 2024-09-15 | Lost |
| 778 | 1065 | 16% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 991 | 47% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1186 | 47% | 2024-07-08 | Won |
| 1054 | 1216 | 28% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1012.2 vs 1068.5 has a 41.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).