St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2026-09-03 | | Won |
| 1080 | 755 | 87% | 2026-02-06 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1183 | 35% | 2025-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2024-10-19 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-08-10 | | Won |
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2024-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-07-13 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2024-07-09 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1011.8 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).