St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 755 | 88% | 2026-02-06 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1188 | 34% | 2025-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2024-10-19 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-08-10 | | Won |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2024-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-07-13 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2024-07-09 | | Won |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1004.1 vs 1015.3 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).