St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1105 | 42% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 1189 | 20% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 952 | 885 | 60% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 864 | 1070 | 23% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1179 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1074 | 45% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 991 | 885 | 65% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 984.6 vs 1031.5 has a 43.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).