Securing Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Canadian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-03-29 | | Won |
| 1272 | 1126 | 70% | 2024-09-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2024-03-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1010.3 has a 60.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).