Securing Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (3 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Canadian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-03-29 | Won |
| 1266 | 1017 | 81% | 2024-09-28 | Won |
| 964 | 929 | 55% | 2024-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 992.7 has a 63.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).