Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 884 | 68% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1002 | 73% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1032 | 69% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1102.5 vs 1049.7 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).