Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 927 | 62% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1256 | 22% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1160 | 47% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1070 | 59% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 1074.3 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).