An Even Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2025-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1243 | 1156 | 62% | 2025-06-18 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1202 | 29% | 2025-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 987 | 57% | 2024-12-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1128 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).