The 11th Hour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1077 | 47% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 2025-12-21 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 870 | 66% | 2025-09-19 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2025-08-17 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2025-07-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 876 | 1001 | 33% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1006.6 vs 1030.2 has a 46.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).