Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 1061 | 42% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1082 | 51% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1223 | 35% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1046.1 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).