Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 986 | 55% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1005 | 1051 | 43% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1092 | 59% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1112 | 47% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2005-12-30 | Won |
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1152 | 45% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1044.9 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).