Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (11 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1001 | 69% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 953 | 1036 | 38% | 2019-03-25 | | Won |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2019-01-08 | | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2008-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2005-12-30 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1022 | 75% | 2005-12-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1995-07-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1022.2 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).