Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1005 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 1084 | 43% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 937 | 78% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1048 | 56% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1137 | 1111 | 54% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1025.7 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).