Rude Awakening
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1101 | 30% | 2019-06-17 | Lost |
| 950 | 958 | 49% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 984 | 45% | 2018-09-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-03 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1036 | 59% | 2015-05-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2002-11-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-06-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1051.1 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).