The Bushmasters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (16 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (Japanese): 64
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 931 | 67% | 2019-05-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2016-05-03 | Won |
| 1125 | 1114 | 52% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1026 | 50% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1010 | 64% | 2011-02-22 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1010 | 67% | 2008-03-17 | Won |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1065 | 71% | 2002-07-10 | Won |
| 839 | 983 | 30% | 2000-12-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 1998-01-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 984 | 62% | 1993-11-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | | Won |
| 847 | 1117 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1027.3 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).