End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (19 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (French): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 865 | 70% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 920 | 909 | 52% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1181 | 27% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 800 | 61% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 953 | 1109 | 29% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 996 | 79% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1046 | 63% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1046 | 50% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1106 | 47% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1099 | 26% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1050.6 has a 46.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).