End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (21 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 77
Defender wins (French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 865 | 66% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 958 | 944 | 52% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1206 | 21% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 927 | 800 | 68% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 1071 | 55% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1028 | 47% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 1067 | 72% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1039 | 1013 | 54% | 2005-12-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1046 | 54% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1196 | 17% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1054.7 has a 45.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).