End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (20 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (French): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 748 | 865 | 34% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 748 | 1189 | 7% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 913 | 799 | 66% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 948 | 64% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1111 | 53% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1095 | 50% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1122 | 1081 | 56% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1046 | 62% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1111 | 46% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1241 | 14% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 999.9 vs 1062.3 has a 41.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).