Encounter at Cornimont
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (11 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (French): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1228 | 20% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2020-12-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 952 | 54% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 1046 | 53% | 2014-12-26 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2010-10-14 | Won |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2009-05-05 | Won |
| 1184 | 1045 | 69% | 1998-02-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1997-12-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1057.9 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).