Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 889 | 77% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1028 | 70% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 892 | 1217 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1184 | 986 | 76% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 889 | 987 | 36% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1100 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 973 | 53% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1015 | 47% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1140 | 40% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1073 | 53% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1032 | 53% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1085 | 51% | 1998-11-01 | Lost |
| 1184 | 946 | 80% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1028.9 has a 55.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).