Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1012 | 42% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 950 | 73% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1012 | 75% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1190 | 1021 | 73% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 890 | 1216 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 985 | 70% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 878 | 976 | 36% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1046 | 57% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1031 | 52% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1095 | 40% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 947 | 75% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1027.9 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).