Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 37
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 947 | 72% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1154 | 1008 | 70% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 889 | 1219 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1200 | 985 | 78% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 950 | 976 | 46% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1098 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 947 | 57% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1152 | 39% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1064 | 54% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1033 | 49% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1090 | 43% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1200 | 947 | 81% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1023.9 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).