Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 890 | 1219 | 13% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1241 | 985 | 81% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1095 | 68% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 748 | 82% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1128 | 45% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1032 | 51% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1088 | 48% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1241 | 946 | 85% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 981.6 has a 63.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).