Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1113 | 820 | 84% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 1136 | 25% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 969 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 977 | 67% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 947 | 1018 | 40% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 909 | 1043 | 32% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1083 | 69% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1263 | 16% | 2001-02-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1091 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1056.1 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).