Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 864 | 74% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1203 | 829 | 90% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 968 | 47% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1038 | 44% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 968 | 1112 | 30% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 1018 | 41% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 941 | 1043 | 36% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1183 | 63% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1216 | 1048 | 72% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1117 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1037.7 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).