Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 879 | 65% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1177 | 824 | 88% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 948 | 984 | 45% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1038 | 44% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 995 | 57% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 953 | 1115 | 28% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 1019 | 40% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 962 | 1043 | 39% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1101 | 67% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1250 | 17% | 2001-02-22 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1084 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1046.6 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).