Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (10 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Belgian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 858 | 81% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 955 | 937 | 53% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1025 | 54% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1009 | 59% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 930 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 939 | 1043 | 35% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1128 | 68% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1167 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1040.3 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).