Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Belgian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 871 | 69% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1205 | 834 | 89% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 954 | 865 | 63% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1038 | 51% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 995 | 54% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 861 | 1090 | 21% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 957 | 1043 | 38% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1195 | 51% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 1105 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1021.5 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).