Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1170 | 19% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1031 | 44% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 953 | 1056 | 36% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1190 | 850 | 88% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 1028 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1034.8 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).