Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 998 | 66% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 943 | 1217 | 17% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 911 | 1029 | 34% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 966 | 1087 | 33% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 911 | 928 | 48% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 847 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1019 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1134 | 33% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1026.9 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).