Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1200 | 17% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 909 | 1030 | 33% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1098 | 30% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 846 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1018 | 57% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1136 | 37% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1018.4 vs 1011.9 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).