Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1077 | 29% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 933 | 964 | 46% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 942 | 1102 | 28% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1103 | 66% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 850 | 88% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 1028 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1137 | 54% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1188 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1017.6 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).