Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1186 | 19% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 958 | 1030 | 40% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 879 | 1106 | 21% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 846 | 89% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1018 | 57% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1136 | 43% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1185 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1027.8 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).