Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (41 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 105
Defender wins (Russian): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1089 | 48% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 950 | 69% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1066 | 1226 | 28% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 979 | 73% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 933 | 944 | 48% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1126 | 1089 | 55% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 838 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1069 | 935 | 68% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 890 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1069 | 1053 | 52% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1041 | 50% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1130 | 54% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1107 | 31% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 2009-07-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2008-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1253 | 19% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1219 | 21% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1113 | 35% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1239 | 57% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1113 | 29% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2006-04-14 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1082 | 39% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1105 | 1101 | 51% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 972 | 1245 | 17% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 964 | 1127 | 28% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1259 | 1035 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1057.9 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).