Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (Romanian): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 993 | 51% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1130 | 951 | 74% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1205 | 1049 | 71% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 995 | 54% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1108 | 959 | 70% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
| 1093 | 951 | 69% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1023 | 976 | 57% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 927 | 954 | 46% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 1053 | 62% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 935 | 82% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1091 | 889 | 76% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1195 | 1054 | 69% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1029 | 51% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1023 | 62% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1093 | 33% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 908 | 58% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 866 | 70% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
| 945 | 1242 | 15% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1149 | 35% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
| 1062 | 1113 | 43% | 2006-08-12 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1302 | 48% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 1082 | 47% | 2006-04-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1310 | 12% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
| 989 | 1161 | 27% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1038.1 has a 54.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).