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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 1110 | 8% | 2025-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2024-11-03 | D | Won |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2021-07-26 | | Lost |
| 909 | 920 | 48% | 2015-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2006-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 2006-08-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 952.3 vs 1039.3 has a 37.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).