On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Finnish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2026-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1183 | 34% | 2024-02-12 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-09-28 | | Won |
| 950 | 1019 | 40% | 2023-03-11 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2021-04-24 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2020-04-16 | | Won |
| 950 | 1085 | 31% | 2019-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2016-10-15 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2012-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-10-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1040.7 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).