The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (21 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1051 | 68% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 948 | 981 | 45% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 995 | 57% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1047 | 1016 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1172 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1127 | 63% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1217 | 1102 | 66% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 919 | 969 | 43% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 951 | 1077 | 33% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1099 | 31% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 951 | 60% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 1156 | 23% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1184 | 28% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 958 | 1040 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 826 | 965 | 31% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1056.6 has a 45.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).