The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 954 | 79% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1099 | 66% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1216 | 1196 | 53% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1072 | 32% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 909 | 1044 | 31% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 961 | 1109 | 30% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 944 | 66% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1190 | 28% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 936 | 68% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 827 | 944 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1026.5 vs 1046 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).