The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1173 | 41% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1054 | 38% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1241 | 47% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1009 | 40% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1026 | 33% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 960 | 1199 | 20% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 906 | 66% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1266 | 19% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1039 | 38% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
| 827 | 1007 | 26% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1114 | 40% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1068.5 has a 43.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).