The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (21 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-03-09 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-07-21 | | Won |
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2021-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-10-06 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2020-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1172 | 40% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2019-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2018-09-18 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1149 | 60% | 2018-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2018-01-21 | | Won |
| 981 | 1078 | 36% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2017-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2017-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1106 | 35% | 2014-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1292 | 17% | 2014-12-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2014-11-19 | | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2012-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2011-06-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2011-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 1998-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1054.6 has a 47.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).