Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1073 | 1062 | 52% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1073 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1056 | 39% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1177 | 48% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1086.1 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).