Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
1094 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
1093 | 1094 | 50% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
1061 | 937 | 67% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
864 | 1070 | 23% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
1019 | 1063 | 44% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
1067 | 1063 | 51% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
1159 | 1193 | 45% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1085.6 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).