Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1068 | 1031 | 55% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1068 | 45% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1087 | 53% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1151 | 51% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1066.4 has a 47.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).