Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1073 | 1060 | 52% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1073 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
| 858 | 1008 | 30% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1198 | 45% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1067.9 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).