Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (20 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1180 | 51% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-09-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 964 | 58% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1268 | 33% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
| 920 | 1064 | 30% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2015-10-16 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1054 | 45% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1054 | 45% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 884 | 871 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1268 | 23% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1268 | 23% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1046 | 57% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 996 | 1046 | 43% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 932 | 963 | 46% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026 vs 1061.9 has a 44.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).