Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (23 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 40
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2026-06-22 | A | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2025-04-12 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2024-09-11 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2024-04-06 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-01-03 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-08-06 | | Won |
| 896 | 1037 | 31% | 2019-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-10-16 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-03-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-01-28 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1055 | 43% | 2014-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1055 | 43% | 2014-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
| 885 | 870 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-05-01 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1024 | 60% | 2005-08-31 | | Won |
| 997 | 1024 | 46% | 2005-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2005-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1999-12-30 | | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 1999-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1031.9 vs 1037.2 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).