Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (20 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1080 | 66% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-09-11 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1131 | 741 | 90% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1063 | 44% | 2015-10-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1054 | 51% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1054 | 51% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 884 | 870 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 741 | 87% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 741 | 87% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1063 | 55% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 996 | 1063 | 40% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 916 | 960 | 44% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 981.3 has a 57.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).