Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
| 832 | 878 | 43% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1070 | 38% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 924 | 1131 | 23% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1167 | 1333 | 28% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 870 | 924 | 42% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 924 | 1065 | 31% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1152 | 41% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 999 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 977 | 1127 | 30% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1055.3 has a 42.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).