Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (25 on the archive and 94 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 79
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1204 | 1155 | 57% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
1168 | 1307 | 31% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
869 | 1204 | 13% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
1204 | 989 | 78% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
1089 | 1176 | 38% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2004-01-10 | Won |
831 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
969 | 831 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
831 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
977 | 1133 | 29% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
1133 | 1172 | 44% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
991 | 1062 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1070.9 has a 42.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).