Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1005 | 40% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
| 980 | 983 | 50% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 929 | 1048 | 34% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1167 | 1310 | 31% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 870 | 937 | 40% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 983 | 53% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 937 | 982 | 44% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1179 | 37% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2004-01-10 | Won |
| 829 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 829 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 969 | 829 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1001 | 64% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 977 | 1129 | 29% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1072 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1049.4 has a 44.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).