Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (50 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 915 | 83% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 956 | 941 | 52% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 991 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1063 | 60% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1085 | 67% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 895 | 1052 | 29% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 984 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1058 | 53% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1343 | 1129 | 77% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 1008 | 47% | 2018-08-10 | Lost |
| 942 | 988 | 43% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1001 | 988 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 964 | 51% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-11-11 | Tied |
| 1060 | 988 | 60% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 1235 | 1141 | 63% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1141 | 63% | 2016-04-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 964 | 975 | 48% | 2012-12-16 | Won |
| 964 | 1131 | 28% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-04-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 986 | 59% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1052 | 41% | 2010-07-10 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 968 | 1040 | 40% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2010-01-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2009-10-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1225 | 22% | 2009-06-27 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2006-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1160 | 27% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2004-03-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2003-12-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1126 | 35% | 2003-10-09 | Won |
| 1343 | 1209 | 68% | 2002-08-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1054 | 51% | 2001-06-14 | Won |
| 1085 | 988 | 64% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1205 | 41% | 2000-08-05 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 1999-04-17 | Won |
| 1233 | 975 | 82% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 1995-10-14 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1039.2 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).