Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (37 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 957 | 82% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 956 | 872 | 62% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 991 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1010 | 55% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 848 | 1068 | 22% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 929 | 56% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1055 | 65% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 896 | 928 | 45% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 1109 | 43% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 896 | 1024 | 32% | 2018-08-10 | Lost |
| 1001 | 896 | 65% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 926 | 896 | 54% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-11-11 | Tied |
| 1058 | 896 | 72% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 910 | 74% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2012-12-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-04-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 986 | 64% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1086 | 36% | 2010-07-10 | Lost |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1121 | 40% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2009-10-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 1224 | 22% | 2009-06-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1133 | 29% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1107 | 39% | 2003-10-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 976 | 55% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1082 | 50% | 1999-04-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 975 | 81% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1092 | 68% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1012.2 vs 1011.9 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).