Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (50 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 915 | 76% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 991 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1089 | 56% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1107 | 65% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 984 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1058 | 51% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 1342 | 1129 | 77% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1151 | 37% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 964 | 1008 | 44% | 2018-08-10 | Lost |
| 942 | 964 | 47% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1001 | 964 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 945 | 54% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-11-11 | Tied |
| 1060 | 964 | 63% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
| 1235 | 1140 | 63% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1140 | 63% | 2016-04-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 945 | 975 | 46% | 2012-12-16 | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-04-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 986 | 56% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1030 | 44% | 2010-07-10 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
| 968 | 1052 | 38% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2010-01-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2009-10-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1225 | 22% | 2009-06-27 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2006-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2004-03-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2003-12-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 1126 | 41% | 2003-10-09 | Won |
| 1342 | 1209 | 68% | 2002-08-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1054 | 51% | 2001-06-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 988 | 66% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1205 | 41% | 2000-08-05 | Won |
| 1083 | 989 | 63% | 1999-04-17 | Won |
| 1233 | 975 | 82% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 1995-10-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1092 | 53% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1037.5 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).