Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (50 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 926 | 66% | 2024-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 957 | 56% | 2024-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 999 | 1126 | 32% | 2023-07-08 | D | Lost |
| 1007 | 1077 | 40% | 2023-07-05 | | Won |
| 847 | 1078 | 21% | 2023-01-13 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2020-04-02 | | Lost |
| 970 | 928 | 56% | 2020-02-15 | | Won |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2020-01-13 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1147 | 40% | 2019-12-03 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1079 | 39% | 2019-02-23 | | Lost |
| 955 | 1008 | 42% | 2018-08-10 | | Lost |
| 927 | 955 | 46% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-07-17 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-11-11 | | Tied |
| 1044 | 955 | 63% | 2017-04-04 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2016-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2016-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2016-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2012-12-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2012-12-16 | | Lost |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 2012-04-04 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2010-07-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-03-27 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1041 | 39% | 2010-03-13 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1100 | 38% | 2010-01-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-10-19 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-27 | | Lost |
| 754 | 1158 | 9% | 2006-12-20 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2006-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1212 | 23% | 2004-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2004-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2003-12-20 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1106 | 43% | 2003-10-09 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2002-08-27 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2001-06-14 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2000-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2000-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 1999-04-17 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 1996-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 1995-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1995-08-01 | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1011 vs 1024.7 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).